K-BAD 2011: PART III

February 21st, 2011 | by Ray Flowers |

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In Part III of my review of the K-BAD experts draft at KFFL, I’ll wrap things up by breaking down my final eight selections and then giving a quick review of the squad I assembled. Here are some links that are pertinent to the piece as well.

K-BAD HOMEPAGE

PART I – Selections 1-10
PART II - Selections 11-20.

* Note: All comments were written in real time meaning they were penned right after the choice was made (the draft is a “slow draft” type setup where people have two hours to make a selection as we are all squeezing in the draft during our busy work days).

Round 21-8: Alfonso Soriano, OF, Cubs
s a 5th outfielder, as long as he is healthy, Soriano should be fine. Looking at the available options, I just didn’t see many who could hit 25 homers while scoring/knocking in 90.

Round 22-5: Gavin Floyd, SP, White Sox
I almost pulled the trigger on Floyd in the 20th round, so I pretty much had to take him in the 22nd. People always seem to neglect Floyd who has been stable, and pretty darn good the past two years.

Round 23-8: Brandon League, RP, Mariners
I’m not at all convinced that David Aardsma will be healthy and/or effective (he’s likely to miss the start of the year coming back from hip surgery). I wrote about this situation in A Hip that Makes You Hop.

Round 24-5: Ryan Doumit, C, Pirates
Honestly, this is a total shot in the dark. He’s the only catcher left on the board who I think could go .270-15-60, though he’ll need a trade to get anywhere close to that. He could be the first player I dump.

Round 25-8: James Loney, 1B, Dodgers
Boring, but I needed a corner infield option, and I certainly didn’t want to take Chipper Jones. Loney has little upside, but he does have 268 RBI the last three years which is, shockingly, seven more than Paul Konerko.

Round 26-5: Alcides Escobar, SS, Brewers
I wanted to bolster my pitching staff, but there are a handful of starters and relievers still available who I could go with, so I backed up my weakest hitting position by adding this speedster (my other SS is Jason Bartlett).

Round 27-8: Ryan Madson, RP, Phillies
Best pitcher, skill wise, left amongst relievers. Still, I gave heavy consideration to Jake McGee who could close for Rays and Clay Hensley as a handcuff to my ealier selection of Leo Nunez.

Round 28-5: Cameron Maybin, OF, Padres
I wanted to add depth in the outfield with my last pick and also gave a thought to calling out Roger Bernadina, Alex Gordon or David DeJesus (though DD was taken the pick before me).

REPORT CARD

* This team has lots of speed. Pierre should push 50 steals, Upton should get 40, and it wouldn’t be surprising to see McCutchen go for at least 30. I’m also expecting 15 from guys like Utley, Braun, Bartlett and Zobrist. Barring injury, I should win this category.

* My average might be lacking a bit since I took Dunn and Reynolds. Still, they are about as powerful a 1B/3B combo as anyone could hope to have. Yadier Molina usually has a decent average versus other catchers, and Utley, Braun and Kendrick should hit .300 to keep me respectable here – I hope.

* The power of this club is strong. I should get at least 70 bombs from Dunn and Reynolds, and if I don’t get at least 60 from Braun and Utley I’d be surprised. Zobrist, Lee, Upton, McCutchen and Soriano should all also hit 20.

* On the hill, saves are a bit of a question. Soria is a star as my anchor, and Hanrahan was named the Pirates’ closer two days after I drafted him which certainly helps. If Nunez can hold on to his strikeout and ground ball gains from last season, I could have three solid closers. I also expect League to start off as the closer with Aardsma coming back from injury, and Madson is just one pitch away from an injury to Brad Lidge to being called on in the 9th inning for the Phillies.  Maybe this unit isn’t a bad as I thought.

* At the top Sabathia and Hanson are a dynamic 1-2 punch, and I’ll take Billingsley as a #3 in any league. If things come together for Nolasco he will be the best 4th SP in the league, and guys like Baker and Floyd give me a strong top-6. Still, I do regret going against my normal tradition of waiting on pitching. Even though I took two SPs in the first seven rounds I’m not convinced that my team is appreciably better than it would have been if I had waited until the 8th round to take my first hurler.

Every team has a weakness, but overall I really like the way this draft played out. I picked up a bunch of the players that I targeted, so if everyone stays healthy I should be in line for another top-3 finish… but there is a whole of baseball that has to be played before we’ll know for sure how I did.


By Ray Flowers

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12 Responses to “K-BAD 2011: PART III”

  1. By Jim on Feb 22, 2011

    Your draft shaped up like I’m hoping mine will in a 5X5 league next week, and I won’t hesitate to reach for Sabathia a little early if I have to. I’m sure Halladay, Lincy, and maybe even Cliff Lee will be off the board before him, and I don’t see the massive value differential. Overall, you seemed to nail a ton of strength and balance in the early rounds, and fill out the roster with underrated bargains. Let’s all hope our guys don’t do dumb stuff like hit a bat rack with a right cross. Yeesh.

  2. By Ray Flowers on Feb 22, 2011

    Jim-

    Thanks for the kind words.

    Honestly, I think I should have passed on Hanson. Love the potential, but like I wrote, even more strength on offense could have been had.

    Still, I think the balance in the early rounds was key as you mentioned.

    You never know about the late rounds.

    EX: Cameron Maybin.
    He could hit .270 with 15 homers and 20 steals OR he could hit .219 and get 269 at-bats.

    Roster the skills and keep your fingers crossed.

  3. By Paul on Feb 23, 2011

    Ray- Interesting you mentioned the handcuff for Nunez is Clay Hensley. Is this based on last season? or current depth charts?

    I think Edward Mujica may be the better handcuff option in Florida. Over the past three years Mujica has improved in every category, K/9, BB/9, K/BB, BABIP, LD%, GB% and FB%.
    Even his contact % and swinging strike % has improved each year.

    The only concerning stat is Mujica’s HR/FB which went from 8.5% in 2008 to a way too high specially for a RP 17.7% last season.

    Where Hensley’s one year success was due to an improved K/9 rate of 9.24 and improved LOB% 80.9%, which probably has more to due with the K rate.

    It’s hard for be to believe at 31 years old Hensley is on his way to turn his career around.

    Thoughts?

  4. By Ray Flowers on Feb 23, 2011

    Paul-

    Teams love the been there, done that stuff, which is why I would say Hensley is in the lead. Skills? aren’t as good as Mujica you are correct – see: http://baseballguys.com/2011/02/04/radiant-relievers/

    Actually though, I believe Ryan Webb, another new addition, could be ahead of Mujica – they love him in Florida.

  5. By Thomas on Feb 23, 2011

    So, is rototimes out of business? There hasn’t been an update over there in about a week. Good luck on the new venture.

  6. By Ray Flowers on Feb 23, 2011

    Thomas-
    Fanball and Rototimes are still operating, but only to take care of existing fantasy games. There will be no more daily updates of any kind, i.e. news or articles.

    Things will continue to be smoking here though, don’t worry. And you can still catch my work on SI.com and with SiriusXM each day.

  7. By Paul on Feb 24, 2011

    Boooo….

    This means no more updated depth charts?
    Rototimes was one of the two sites that I used for depth charts.

  8. By Ray Flowers on Feb 24, 2011

    Paul-

    Yep. RT and Fanball are completely done in terms of offering any fantasy updates or advice.

    Sorry about that.

  9. By Jason Collette on Feb 24, 2011

    mlbdepthcharts.com is a great site for depth charts

  10. By Ray Flowers on Feb 25, 2011

    Jason is correct – check it out Paul.

    Hell, Jason is always right.

  11. By Paul on Feb 25, 2011

    Thanks guys-

    Unfortunately, Mlbdepthcharts.com is the other site I use for depth charts.
    I didn’t want to list it, I wasn’t sure if I was crossing a line advertising other sites.

  12. By Ray Flowers on Feb 25, 2011

    Paul-

    Just don’t tell people that other sites are better.

    We all know they aren’t anyway. lol

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