Edwin Jackson thought he would strike it rich this offseason. He didn’t. Instead of the five year deal he was hoping for he decided to sign a 1-year deal, for about $10 million, with the Nationals. What did the team in the nations capitol get for all that money?
E. Jackson’s first name might as well be “Enigma.” On any given day he could twirl a no-hitter flashing elite stuff. On another day he might walk six batters and fail to escape the third inning. Some times he is as boring as boring gets giving up three runs and nine base runners in 5.1 innings. This is the main issue with Edwin Jackson – there’s simply no way to know how he will perform in any given outing. He doesn’t know. His team doesn’t know. His fantasy owners never know. Given that uncertainty, what should we make of Jackson in the fantasy game? Some facts with Jackson for you to consider.
Jackson has won at least 10 games each of the past four years while averaging 12 wins a year. His career record is still as boring as it gets though as he is 60-60.
Jackson has hit at least 183.1 innings each of the past four years twice going over 200-innings (he fell just short last year with 199.2 innings pitched). Give him his due here – he is pretty durable.
Jackson has a high of 181 strikeouts in a season, but he has only one other season with 150 punchouts (161 in 2009 as he fell short last year with 148 Ks). His career K/9 mark is 6.68 an only twice in his career, if you remove his 22 innings in his first season, has he posted a mark of 7.00.
Jackson owns a 4.46 ERA in his career. Over the last four years he has as many seasons with an ERA over 4.40 – two – as he does below that mark (3.62 in 2009 and 3.79 last year).
Jackson has a 1.48 WHIP for his career. Only twice in the last eight years has he posted a mark under 1.40 (1.26 in 2009 and 1.39 in 2010).
Prior to the All-Star break last season Jackson posted a 4.30 ERA and 1.44 WHIP. In the 2nd half his ERA improved substantially to 3.19, but his WHIP was still poor at 1.43.
His career BABIP is .311.
His career LOB percentage is 71.6 percent.
Though just 28 years old, Jackson has never been able to live up to the talent in his arm. Be it because of a lack of command, a lack of consistency, or simply an inability to focus, Jackson tantalizes every year but in the end the result is almost always disappointing (check out the rankings at Fealflicker where it’s obvious that there is still come convincing needed in the fantasy game). Jackson is a fine late round target in mixed leagues because there is a 15 win, 180 K, 3.50 ERA season in his arm. At the same time, you’re just as likely to get a replacement level season from E-Jax as you are to be excited about adding him to your squad. Think about it. Here are his career numbers again:
4.46 ERA, 1.48 WHIP, 6.68 K/9, 1.82 K/BB, .311 BABIP, 71.6 LOB%
The only number in that group that is even league average is is the left on base mark, and it’s only a percentage point above the league average.
There may be no better example of an “average” performer on the hill than Jackson, even if his arm says that there is talent here to be an All-Star.
By Ray Flowers