Daily Joust – Wk 8: Did We Learn Anything?

May 28th, 2012 | by Ray Flowers |

'Felix Doubront' photo (c) 2012, Keith Allison - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Monday’s I will be taking a look at the fantasy baseball game by breaking down players who have produced noteworthy performances. This week it’s all about hot starting batters and pitchers – can they keep it up?

To get your daily fantasy baseball fix make sure you head over to DailyJoust.com to set your salary cap club.


GAINERS OF THE WEEK

Felix Doubront (+38, $288K in DailyJoust Salary)
He has won three of his last four starts, and over his last three outings he’s allowed only five runners to cross home plate (four earned). He continues to pile up the strikeouts, 16 in his last 11.2 innings and 53 in 50 innings on the year, showing his high upside arm. He’s still walked a few too many though with a 4.14 per nine mark, and he’s actually given up a ton of hard hit balls as well (25 percent line drive rate). It’s a big arm that Dubront owns, but I can forsee some inconsistency in his future.

Kevin Millwood (+123, $361K)
Where has this come from? I have no idea either. Over his last three starts Millwood has three victories, has allowed only five hits and a mere run while striking out 15 in 22 innings. Millwood hasn’t pitched like this since, jeez, probably back in 2005. He’s not going to keep this up, his 3.72 ERA and 1.29 WHIP marks are unlikely to hold, but he is locked in right now and may make a nice matchup play, especially when pitching at home.

Jonathon Niese (+44, $219K)
Niese has an over four ERA, and that 1.31 WHIP is solid but not great. Still, there are seeds of success here. Niese has a 7.87 K/9 mark, a solid total, but he needs to bring down the 3.58 walk per nine mark (it’s 3.06 for his career). If he reigns in the free passes, and keeps that impressive 1.88 GB/FB ratio going, he’s bound to drop that ERA into the 3′s.

Mark Teixeira (+37, $112K)
You can only keep a good man down for so long. Dealing with a nasty respiratory issue Tex’s bat has finally awoken. Mark has come alive at the dish with eight hits the last three days including three big flies and eight RBI. He’s pushed his average up to a more palatable .254, and don’t forget that, for whatever reason, Teixeira always seems to improve each year as the weather warms.

Alex Rios (+24, $99K)
Alex Rios is hitting a solid .281 on the year, and he has eight hits in his last five games. Included in those eight hits are three homers and nine RBI as he’s also tossed in a steal, his fifth of the year. He still has a long ways to go to live up to my expectations for him, but his current pace certainly looks a lot more impressive thanks to his hot week at the dish.

LOSERS OF THE WEEK

Josh Bell (-34, $55K)
I’m sorry folks, but Josh Bell can’t hit. There I said it. It’s only been 13 at-bats but we’re looking at two hits an a .154 average for the D’backs “third baseman.” Per his modus operandi, all Bell has done is strike out (five) and never walk (zero free passes) leaving him with a total of 83 strikeouts in 233 at-bats, an awful total. Add in his six career walks and you have someone with a 0.07 BB/K mark for his career. I didn’t even know that was possible.

Lance Lynn (-70, $246K)
Lynn has failed to go more than six innings in his last four starts, and he’s also allowed 10 runs over his last three outings leading to a 5.00 ERA. Given his overall numbers which include a 2.54 ERA and 1.09 WHIP it’s not at all surprising to see Lynn start to fall back to earth a bit. He’s been impressive to this point, but there is regression forthcoming.

Alex Rodriguez (-21, $87K)
Hitting .297 with a .796 OPS, ARod is underperforming. He’s still on pace for about 20 homers, but that’s a far cry from the 30 we are used to seeing. His total of 19 RBI also puts him on pace for less than 80, and the last time that happened in a full season was – never (he’s never had fewer than 84 RBI in a season of 440 at-bats). At least he’s stolen six bases to give him some fantasy value while he tries to figure things out at the dish.

Mike Trout (-23, $88K)
Hitting .302 with four homers, 12 RBI, 18 runs and eight steals in just 27 games is an epic start to Trout’s career. Epic. There’s been some give in his game of late as he’s seen his average drop .048 points the past week as the strikeouts have started to pile up (he has eight in six games). What, you thought he was going to flash HOF levels of production in his first full season?

Ben Zobrist (-19, $64K)
Zobrist is hitting .206. Awful. What makes it even more odd is the fact that he is barely hitting .200 despite the fact that he has three more walks than strikeouts (35 to 32). As a result of the free passes his .352 OBP is only one point short of the .353 mark he had last year when he batted .269. On pace to pretty much match last years total of 20 homers, though to fall well behind in RBI/runs, Zobrist seems primed for a run of effectiveness, but for right now he is awfully cold at the dish.

DAILY CONTEST

Today you can sign up for the King Arthur’s $50 Free Roll on DailyJoust. No entry free is required to get a chance to play the game and earn your free chance to take home part of the $50 prize pool. All games that start at 7:05 PM EDT or later are open to add players to your daily fantasy baseball squad. So get over to DailyJoust, put together your one day lineup, and get ready to win some free $.

 

By Ray Flowers

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16 Responses to “Daily Joust – Wk 8: Did We Learn Anything?”

  1. By Nick on May 28, 2012

    Which side do you prefer?
    Bauer, Napoli and Bautista or
    Bumgarner, Mauer and R. Zimmerman
    Thanks

  2. By Ray Flowers on May 28, 2012

    Nick – MadBum, Mauer, Zimmerman.

    Napoli is an impressive power bat that gains even more value in two catcher lgs, but he may be a .265 hitter. Bautista, he may be a .265 hitter as well, though one with immense power. Bauer has a huge K arm, but when will we see him? What if he doesn’t get called up for 5-6 weeks? Too risky for me in this deal.

  3. By Jeremy on May 28, 2012

    Hey Ray, What are your thoughts on Bryan Lahair? He was due for regression but looking at his Milb stats and what he was able to do earlier in the year he seems like he is still pretty legit. Do you think he is a solid 1B if you are in need of one?

  4. By Juan on May 28, 2012

    Hey Ray,

    I play in a shallow league with limited bench spots. 10 team, 5×5 cats. My OFs are pretty weak right now and i’m losing a lot of categories. My OF are swisher, markakis, harper, alex gordon, chris young….cespedes, morse, dirks and lahair are available on the wire and ive heard reports that cespedes and morse are coming back this week…any suggestions??? thanks!

  5. By Ray Flowers on May 28, 2012

    Jeremy – I’ve been telling everyone, literally, to deal LaHair for over a month now. I know everyone didn’t listen, and those that didn’t are stuck with a sinking ship right now. I gave my thoughts on him just last week:

    http://baseballguys.com/2012/05/22/around-the-horn-may22-2012/

    He’s nothing more than a CI in 15 tm lgs at this point.

  6. By Ray Flowers on May 28, 2012

    Juan – Cespedes is likely to return this week. Morse, according to what I’m hearing, hopes to return on June 8th for interleague play so he can DH.

    I don’t think your five outfielders are bad at all. Could you add Cespedes or Morse over Gordon? You could. I’d suggest Morse, but given that he has been out for so long and we’re not at all certain how long it’s going to take him to get up to speed, know that if you add him now it might be at least two weeks, if not a bit more, before he will be worth starting.

  7. By Bill on May 29, 2012

    Hey Ray,
    I am thinking of picking up Middlebrooks because of his avg. Would you drop any of these guys to pick up him up? Ibanez, A. Rios, M. Montero, R. Soriano, Frieri. This is a 5×5 league.
    Thanks a lot

  8. By Ray Flowers on May 29, 2012

    Bill – with his approach, no walks a few too many Ks, I don’t think targeting him for batting average help is the best move to make. Players that can strike out a third of the time and hit .300 – just doesn’t happen (no one last year was over 24% that also hit .300) – and 91 at-bats from Middlebrooks doing it doesn’t lead me to think he can buck that trend.

    See – http://baseballguys.com/2012/05/29/around-the-horn-may29-2012/

  9. By Jonah on May 29, 2012

    Hey ray,

    In a 10 team pts league I’ve got Gordon as my last bench spot. Being a 10 teamer means there are decent replacements in the FA/WW pool if I want to cut and run. Position is really no issue.

    Options: Kubel, Goldschmidt, Stubbs, K. Johnson, A. Jackson, Ackley, J. Montero, Utley, Morales, Viciedo, Bonifacio, D. Young.

    Any worth dropping Gordon over?

    Thanks!

  10. By Donna on May 29, 2012

    Ray- Is Roy Oswalt worth a roster spot in a 10 tm H2H? I have Lilly on the DL that I could drop for him, or AJ Ellis that I picked up this week to play(I have Napoli that I could play instead).

  11. By Ray Flowers on May 29, 2012

    Donna – I talked about Oswalt last week here – http://baseballguys.com/2012/05/23/around-the-horn-may23-2012/

    In a 10 team mixed league, hard for me to tell anyone to add Oswalt given that he hasn’t pitched this season, and that he’s likely still a month away from pitching this year. 10 teamers are so shallow that killing a roster spot for a month is tough.

  12. By Ray Flowers on May 29, 2012

    Jonah – Stubbs shouldn’t be on waivers, neither should Austin Jackson for sure.

    I’d take either over Gordon right now.

  13. By Bobby on May 29, 2012

    Hello Ray

    5×5 league non keeper this year only. Rank these 3 players.

    Either
    B.J Upton
    M Trout.

    thank you

    Bobby.

  14. By Ray Flowers on May 29, 2012

    Bobby – Upton, Ethier Trout.

    I’m tempted to list Trout second cause of his speed, but Ethier and his established record gets him up to #2 here.

  15. By Bobby on May 30, 2012

    Hello Ray.

    My team is last in R,HR,RBI by a large margin these are the trade offers i have on the table which one do you like best. i like the 1st deal but am concerned Konerko will regree he is not a .380 hitter and pujols is heating up. but i think i need 2 hitters as im really behind and in 9th place.

    I GIVE UP PUJOLS/C.C for Braun, Konerko
    I GIVE UP C.C for Matt Holliday.
    I GIVE UP C.C/LAWRIE for B.J UPTON/M TROUT

    Thank you

  16. By Ray Flowers on May 30, 2012

    Bobby – If you’re offense is down, the first deal makes a whole lot of sense to me. Getting Braun and Konerko for Pujols and CC is well worth doing.

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