2012 Positional Review – Relief Pitchers: Hits

October 30th, 2012 | by Ray Flowers |

'Dodgers vs. Cubs for Mark's 26th Birthday' photo (c) 2008, Frederick Dennstedt - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/ Now that the 2012 season is over, it’s time to review how my predictions went for each position in fantasy baseball. To that end, I will review my top-10 at each position and give a brief rundown on how each of the ten performed. I’ll also list which player was a “Hit” (someone who lived up to expectations) as well as a “Miss” (the player who simply failed to impress).

Note: All of these rankings are taken from the 2012 BASEBALLGUYS DRAFT GUIDE

For more on the Draft Guide you can click on the link.

For an update on what you missed in the Draft Guide, click on the link.

CATCHERS

FIRST BASE

SECOND BASE

THIRD BASE

SHORTSTOP

OUTFIELDERS

Things will work a little differently for the pitchers. Instead of a review of the top-10 I’ll detail a series of “Hits” and “Misses” for starters and relievers

STARTING PITCHER – HITS

STARTING PITCHER – MISSES

RELIEF PITCHER: HITS

There were three relievers, outside my top-20, that I highlighted as must adds in The Draft Guide. If you listened to me and added these three relievers, on the cheap mind you, at the end of the season you would have been left with the following scintillating numbers:

11 wins, 2.70 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 246 Ks (11.48 K/9), 71 SVs in 193 IP

Oh, and I suggested taking all of these relievers as early as anyone in the industry so you were able to get phenomenal value if you did as instructed (the first man listed was the only one regularly going in the top-250 according to ADP numbers in standard mixed leagues).

Kenley Jansen (#22): Jansen saved 25 games while dominating as heartily as any hurler in the game (a recent procedure should have also cleared up the ongoing concerns with his heart condition). Just take a look at these numbers: .146 BAA, 0.85 WHIP, 13.71 K/9. It seems like the only thing that can hold him back is his health.

Tyler Clippard (#29): The Nationals righty saved 32 games stepping in when Drew Storen went down with injury, and he also added 13 holds for good measure. Clippard had a rough month of September that muddied his ratios but he still had a 3.72 ERA and 1.16 WHIP with well over a K per inning (84 in 72.2 IP). Year after year he just gets batters out.

Sergio Romo (#31): I’ve said, over an over an over again, that Romo is one of the 10 best relievers in baseball. Still, when Brian Wilson went down with injury the Giants turned to Santiago Casilla to close (he ended the year with 25 saves). After Casilla finally slowed down, Romo turned into 9th inning gold. No,make that platinum. Romo had 23 holds and 14 saves (in 15 chances), and posted a 1.79 ERA, 0.85 WHIP, 10.25 K/9 an a 6.30 K/BB ratio. Nothing he did this year changed my mind at all.

Some other hits… and you know they might be few and far between as the relief position this year had more turnover than just about any season I can ever remember.

Huston Street (#12): He was limited to “only” 23 saves because of injury, but he was likely the most dominating closer in baseball not named Chapman, Kimbrel, Rodney or Jansen. Street struck out 10.85 batters per nine innings, posted a 1.85 ERA, 0.72 WHIP, and allowed 17 hits, seventeen, in 39 innings of work. Only two other pitchers in the history of the game allowed fewer than his 3.92 hits per nine innings in a season of 35 innings – Mike Adams (3.41 in ’09) and Craig Kimbrel (3.88 in ’12).

Rafael Betancourt (#17): I’ve been talking him up for years, and he finally got the chance to be a huge fantasy contributor with his 9th inning role with the Rockies. Rafael closed the door on opponents 31 times, had a 2.81 ERA, 1.13 WHIP, struck out 57 batters in 57.2 innings and once again impressed with his 4.75 K/BB ratio. Money.

Grant Balfour (#27): He started out the year as the closer, struggled a wee bit, and lost his job to Ryan Cook. Balfour eventually regained the role and went on an amazing run in the second half (0.76 WHIP, .131 BAA over his last 33 games). All told he saved 24 games, had 15 holds, registered nearly a K per inning (72 in 74.2 IP), and dominated with a 2.53 ERA and 0.92 WHIP.

Greg Holland (#36): Seven wins, nine holds and 16 saves for a guy who was chosen in the reserve rounds is pretty darn impressive. Add in his dominating 12.22 K/9 mark and we can overlook the unsightly 4.57 walk per nine mark he posted. If he can cut that walk rate down to the league average, this is a guy who could be a top-15 RP next year.

Jonathan Broxton (#39): He stepped up when Joakim Soria need Tommy John surgery, and on the year Broxton saved 27 game between the Royals and Reds. The 2.48 ERA was impressive, but it should be noted that Broxton, who owns a career K/9 mark of 10.96, struck out only 6.98 batters per nine this season as he decided to just get ground ball after ground ball this season (his 2.22 GB/FB ratio blew away his career 1.49 mark).

Luke Gregerson (#46): Always one of my favorite final round grabs, Gregerson was allowed to do something he had never before been tasked with – working the 9th inning. He only filled in when Street was out, but after three saves in three years Gregerson’s owners weren’t complaining about his nine saves and 24 holds. Luke posted his best ERA (2.39), and that 1.09 WHIP will play in any league. An extremely stable skill set.

Glen Perkins (#50): Bet you that Perkins wasn’t drafted in your 12 team mixed league. At the end of the campaign he had 16 saves and 11 holds, while giving career bests in WHIP (1.04), K/9 (9.98) and BB/9 (2.05). A sneaky in-season add that paid huge dividends.

 

By Ray Flowers

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4 Responses to “2012 Positional Review – Relief Pitchers: Hits”

  1. By Jeremy on Mar 18, 2013

    Ray, I did a search for your thoughts on Huston Street and this is the most updated page I could find. I took Addison Reed and Jason Grilli in my shallow points league. Would you drop either for Street? I know the season hasn’t started yet, but to be honest I just forgot about him and didn’t even see him when drafting. I forgot how dominate he was last year when healthy. Thanks man.

  2. By Ray Flowers on Mar 18, 2013

    Jeremy – I can see someone didn’t get a copy of my Draft Guide. Shame on you. lol

    Got all the players ranked there including 75 relievers: http://baseballguys.com/category/fantasy-draft-guide/

    ZERO reason Street should be on any waiver-wire.

  3. By Jeremy on Mar 18, 2013

    Sorry Ray. I bought it last year. Gonna be honest with you, you hate the kind of league that I’m in. It’s a 10 team, CBS points league. Pitchers are more valuable than batters. I hear you every day hating on these leagues. I agree with you, but I’ve been in it 11 years now so I’m not dropping it. Correct me if I’m wrong, but doesn’t your draft guide help roto teams the most? And you HATE pitcher heavy leagues. So I will donate to your cause because I enjoy your writing and your insight, but as a draft guide I just don’t know if it was written with my league set-up in mind. Thanks again.

    I typed roto, but meant categories. I know you are a fan of deeper, category leagues that involve more strategy. If I could find a group of friends that enjoyed those sorts of leagues, I’d def join one, but my buddies prefer the setup listed above. Put it this way, the guy who won last year took 7 SPs in the first 7 rounds. That must make your stomach churn.

  4. By Ray Flowers on Mar 18, 2013

    Jeremy – You shouldn’t drop a lg if you’ve been in it for 11 years. Tradition is very important. Still, what the hell kind of pts lg do you have in place that a guy could win the lg taking 7 straight starting pitchers? I’ve never, in 25 years, heard of that. Ever. If that really is the case, you guys need to adjust your scoring system – that’s just crazy.

    Total misnomer on the draft guide — 95% of it, honestly, is about players and how to evaluate/understand them. It doesn’t matter what your lg scores, the Guide would certainly help you. The rankings are geared toward 5×5, that part is true.

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