K-BAD – 2013: Part II, Rounds 15-28

February 28th, 2013 | by Ray Flowers |

'Dan Haren' photo (c) 2011, Keith Allison - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/ The peeps over over at KFFL.com have a fantasy baseball league nicknamed K-BAD, for Baseball Analysis Draft, and for the 5th straight year I’m honored to have been asked to participate (to see how others in the league constructed their clubs, click on the link above). In Part II of this three part series I will review selections made in rounds 15-28.

For a review of selections in rounds 1-14.

 

Round 15: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Players: Dan Haren, SP
I believe Haren will rebound in 2013. Here’s the reasons why.

Round 16: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Steve Cishek, RP
Wanted Corey Hart who was taken a pick ahead. Therefore decided to make the plunge with my first closer. Stronger skills than Jim Johnson who had 51 saves last year.

Round 17: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Kenley Jansen
It looks like Brandon League will be the closer to start the year, but I expect Jansen to lead the Dodgers in saves just like he did last season after starting out as a setup man. Just a massive arm.

Round 18: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Kevin Youkilis, 1B/3B
He qualifies at both corner infield spots, will get to hit in a solid batters yard in New York, is motivated, and has reworked his swing a bit. All of those things are pluses.

Round 19: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Dustin Ackley, 2B
I don’t know how he scored more than 80 runs with an OBP under .300 last year. Some slight improvement across the board could lead to 10th round production.

Round 20: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Bobby Parnell
There’s no doubting Frank Francisco has a huge arm, but elbow woes could lead to the fire balling/ground ball inducing Parnell becoming the Mets’ closer.

Round 21: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Jarrod Saltalamacchia
The guy I wanted (Russell Martin) was taken one pick before me (what a shock). Salty could go for 25 HRs, so he’s not an awful consolation prize.

Round 22: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Shaun Marcum, SP
Injuries have sapped his value in some folks eyes, but since 2008 an average Marcum season: 11-7, 3.57 ERA, 1.18 WHIP, 7.44 K/9, 2.91 K/BB in 168 innings.

Round 23: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Mark Reynolds, 1B
Few seem to remember, but from 2008 an average Reynolds effort has led to 33 homers, 88 RBIs, 83 runs, 10 steals. So what if he’s hit .229 in that time? I can handle the average with my roster.

Round 24: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: James McDonald, SP
A tale of two halves. In the first he was impressive (9-3, 2.37 ERA, 0.97 WHIP ). In the second he sucked eggs (3-5, 7.52 ERA, 1.79 WHIP). Still has that power arm. See his Player Profile.

Round 25: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Michael Brantley, OF
Not that far away from being someone of note. He was one of nine outfielders to go .288-6-60-63-12 last season. See his Player Profile.

Round 26: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Domonic Brown, OF
I really didn’t need another outfielder after taking Brantle, but with Delmon Young nursing an ankle injury maybe, just maybe, Brown will finally flash that 20/20 talent. We can trade in this league too, and Mr. Minnix has already expressed an interest in Mr. Brown.

Round 27: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: David Robertson
Had a great season last year and people forget if he hadn’t gotten hurt it likely would have been him, and not Rafael Soriano, who led the Yankees in saves.

Round 28: Ray Flowers, BaseballGuys.com
Player: Francisco Liriano, SP
Why make the injured lefty my last selection? We’ve got two DL spots in this league. I’ll put Liriano on the DL and then grab another SP as soon as I can. See his Player Profile.

And with that all there is to do is to review the final squad which is what I will do in Part III of the series.

By Ray Flowers

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22 Responses to “K-BAD – 2013: Part II, Rounds 15-28”

  1. By Ender on Feb 28, 2013

    I think you got lucky that Martin was taken before you. That park is not going to agree with him at all.

    I’m not a fan of Mark Reynolds at all but at that round it is probably fine. I think it is more likely he is on the bench than puts up his old numbers though, that park is going to be absolutely brutal on him since it increases K’s and suppresses singles and HR for RH pull hitters. The loss of his speed hurts his value a ton too.

    Still overall like the draft. I only posted the negatives but the rest of the draft looks really solid to me.

  2. By Ray Flowers on Feb 28, 2013

    Ender – You’re really gonna critique A 23rd round selection? A backup catcher in the 21st? Wow, tough crowd.

  3. By Ralph on Feb 28, 2013

    Ray. What do you think? Hosmer for Gordon. Keep forever. I’d be giving up Hosmer, but have Votto.

    OBP i/o AVG and TB

    Thanks as always!

  4. By Ray Flowers on Feb 28, 2013

    Ralph – Since you have Votto, Hosmer is a luxory. I’d say you can safely make the move to add Gordon if you need help in the outfield. I do really like Hosmer long term though, so if you have a corner infield option, make sure you have the depth there to cover losing Hosmer.

  5. By Ms Choksondik on Feb 28, 2013

    C – Molina
    C – Salty
    1B – Trumbo
    2B – Ackley
    SS – Hanley
    3B – Miggy
    MI – Castro
    CI – Youk
    OF – Austin Jax
    OF – Choo
    OF – Prado
    OF – Markakis
    OF – Fowler
    Util – Revere
    Bench – M Reynolds
    Bench – M Brantley
    Bench – D Brown
    ———————
    P – Shields
    P – Gallardo
    P – Lester
    P – Haren
    P – Marcum
    P – Cishek
    P – K Jansen
    P – Parnell
    P – Robertson
    Bench – McDonald
    DL – Liriano

    Overall I like it. Your offense is well rounded enough that you won’t fall far behind in any category and should be close to the top in a few. I like the offense in the sense that no single category was sacrificed. but I think it comes down to the pitching here. If some of them even come close to what they are capable of then this team has a real chance.

  6. By Ray Flowers on Feb 28, 2013

    Ms Choksondik – Fair overview of the club. You never know, injuries and the waiver-wire are always huge, but I like the club as well… lots of risk on the hill, but what the heck.

  7. By Steve Davis on Feb 28, 2013

    Horrible 28th round pick!!!! Id rather leave my DL slot empty. JK lol

  8. By Steve Davis on Feb 28, 2013

    Honestly Ray, Im 100% on your side with drafting pitching late but dont you think more times than not this year its getting difficult to construct a competitive staff? Over the last few years era and whip have been lower than ever. Agreed? As far as your staff is concerned. Aside from Shields how confident are you that you can compete in era/whip. Especially whip. I think Shields is the only starter who had a whip under 1.30 last year(Haren 1.29-almost)I just feel like this day in age you need crazy low ratios just to be middle of the pack. Lol. Am I wrong here?

  9. By Sanibel on Feb 28, 2013

    Hi Ray.
    Help me choose my keepers (14-team mix $260 auction), can keep up to ten players (this is a 2-catcher league):
    C Mauer $18
    1B Butler 17
    3B Wright $29
    2B D. Murphy $4
    SS Espinoza $9
    CI Adr Gonzalez $42
    DH/1B F Freeman $15
    OF D. Murphy $1
    OF M Prado $13
    OF A Soriano $1
    OF BJ Upton $33
    SP Dempster $5
    SP Floyd $5
    SP Greinke $29
    SP T Milone $7

  10. By Joe on Mar 1, 2013

    Hi ray,
    Can you help me decide on keepers. I have to choose 3 of the following:
    David Wright
    Jose Reyes
    Dustin Pedroia
    Matt Holliday
    Jason heyward

    I have to actually choose 1 of, 1 inf, and then a wild card.

    Thanks

  11. By Byobeerling on Mar 1, 2013

    Am I missing something with Mike Napoli this year? I know that he’s got the hip issue, but it’s my understanding that it’s been overblown, more of a chronic long term issue than something to concern ourselves with this season. Plus, gotta think playing first is going to help keep him on the field this year. If he gets 550-600 at bats, like most firsts do, isn’t he going to run away with the points lead for catchers? Every where I look he’s rated 7-11 for catchers this year. If he’s healthy and plays first all season for the sox, isn’t he a top catcher option? Seems like cheat code that most experts aren’t mentioning. Thoughts? Thanks Ray!

  12. By Ray Flowers on Mar 1, 2013

    Steve Davis – I do not agree. Think last season. Let’s say you rostered the following guys.

    Lincecum, Wilson and Haren as your top-3. You would have thought you had a NAILS trio. In the end, you were left with a pile of poop.

    I also pointed out to another guy when asked about Gallardo… were you aware that Gallardo has a lower career WHIP than Gio Gonzalez? No one notices that cause they just look at Gio’s mark last year and think he is that pitcher. For the majority of his career he hasn’t been.

    Also, I can get 300 innings of 1.10 WHIP out of my relievers… and that’s big.

  13. By Ray Flowers on Mar 1, 2013

    Sanibel – I would keep the following.

    D. Murphy $4
    Espinoza $9
    F Freeman $15
    M Prado $13
    D. Murphy $1
    A Soriano $1
    BJ Upton $33
    Butler 17

  14. By Ray Flowers on Mar 1, 2013

    Joe – IF go Pedroia. OF go Holliday. Wildcard TOUGH call. I’d go Reyes.

  15. By Ray Flowers on Mar 1, 2013

    Byobeerling – What can Mike Napoli do this year if he is healthy?
    http://baseballguys.com/2012/12/04/player-proflie-mike-napoli/

    NO ONE knows though how his body will hold up. That’s the obvious wildcard.

  16. By Steve Davis on Mar 1, 2013

    I know its only 1 season but Gio did move from the AL facing the Rangers and Angels etc to the NL. I know its a minor point but definitely had something to do with better numbers.

    All this being said. In a 12 team mixed league, what round would you take your 1st SP and do you suggest say getting at least 3 or 4 sps by the 10th or 12 th round? would you under any circumstances take an “ace” by the 5th round? would you feel confident in your 1st 2 SPs being Scherzer and Shields because thats how alot of my mocks are panning out? Appreciate your insight.

  17. By Ray Flowers on Mar 1, 2013

    Steve Davis – I would target 2 of first 10 picks being SPs. That’s a good number. If you wanted to go three, that’s ok too. I just wouldn’t ever take one with my first five picks.

    What’s an “Ace” ?

    We talked about this for 30 minutes yesterday on the radio show. My definition is likely diff than most. You take Verlander in the 2nd and pair him with Zimmerman in the 10th. I’ll take Shields/Scherzer in 8/9 and, guess what, my duo is going to be as productive as yours.

  18. By Sanibel on Mar 1, 2013

    “By Ray Flowers on Mar 1, 2013
    Sanibel – I would keep the following.

    D. Murphy $4
    Espinoza $9
    F Freeman $15
    M Prado $13
    D. Murphy $1
    A Soriano $1
    BJ Upton $33
    Butler 17″
    Ray, @$18 Mauer isn’t a decent keeper? I normally don’t bother much with catchers as keepers, but he seems quite valuable in a 2-catcher league, no?

  19. By Ray Flowers on Mar 1, 2013

    Sanibel – Always intrigues me when people ask me a question, I give my answer, and then they ask the question a second time.

    Totally fine to keep Mauer at $18, I have him at $20 in redraft leagues. I just went cheaper.

    Remember, Soriano/Murphy/Murphy for $6 would likely cost you $20 or more in most lgs. You “saved” $14. You can still toss Mauer back and draft him for $25 if you have to and still come out ahead.

  20. By Sanibel on Mar 1, 2013

    Thanks Ray. I’m tempted to ask the question three times but I’ll wait ;)

  21. By Sanibel on Mar 1, 2013

    Ray, same league (14-team mix, $260 auction), I was offered J. Zimmerman ($16) and Mason Williams ($0) for R. Dempster ($5) and M. Olt ($0). Any thoughts?

  22. By Ray Flowers on Mar 1, 2013

    Sanibel – I’d Olt and Dempster. Savings cost, and Olt so much closer to doing something at the big league level than Williams.

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