Archive for the ‘NFL/NHL’ Category

Fantasy NHL Draft Guide

'Hokie_Hockey_001' photo (c) 2010, Ryan Stavely - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/ I’ll be honest with you. Though I did put out my top-200 a few weeks back at Rotowire.com, the delay to start the NHL season this year pushed back the release of my Draft Guide so much, I’m doing the Baseball Guide right now (it will be posted right here at BaseballGuys.com on February 1st), that I just didn’t have time to do a complete an NHL Guide this year.

Have no fear though if you are in search of some NHL talk. Michael Clifford of Fantasy Trade 411 did have the time, and he put together a solid guide with plenty of advice in it. It’s all him, I didn’t write a single word of it, but for those of you looking for an NHL fix, here is the 35 page PDF file.

2012-13 NHL Draft Guide.

 


BY THE WAY – HERE IS A LINK TO RAY FLOWERS’ EXPERTS LEAGUE DRAFT REVIEW
.

 

2012 NFL Draft Guide

'Syncopating' photo (c) 2008, Nolan O'Brien - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/

The 2012 NFL DRAFT GUIDE is here and better than ever!

I’m not going to weigh it down by adding all kinds of reports on team that you won’t read. I’m also not gonna rank players based on 19 different scoring systems. It’s time to get down and dirty folks.

So what does The Guide include and how to get you a copy of the PDF file?

* Players are ranked by position (based on PPR Scoring).
The top-40 quarterbacks and tight ends.
The top 90 running backs and wide receivers
The top-32 kickers and defenses.

I’ll also answer 10 Burning Questions for each position.

* All players also are accompanied by auction dollar values.

* In addition to the actual dollar amounts I’ve also written about how you should attack the draft and what strategies you should employ.

* I’ve also included articles describing my preferred scoring system and roster requirements.

* There is also a report on how to evaluate players. Why shouldn’t you take a quarterback with your first selection?

* You want to take a rookie this year? Make sure you give the Rookie Review a read – it might cause you some pause when it comes to drafting first year players.

* Which players over/under performed last season? I’ve got answers for all 32 teams.

Like I said, down and dirty to help get you into the full swing of fantasy football draft season.

So, how do you get it? Simple really.

The Guide costs $9.95. Come on, that’s about the same as sandwich and sods at Subway or a a three gallons of gas. It’s easily worth it to dominate the competition.

Simply click on the yellow DONATE Tab to the right of this article which will redirect you to the BaseballGuys’ PayPal page. Once there, simply submit a donation for $9.95 and I’ll be happy to email you directly the 45 page PDF file with all the above information in it.


One final note… care to try your football knowledge against The Oracle, Ray Flowers? Find out how you can do just that, while getting a chance to win $100,000 in the National Fantasy Football Championship. You will be able to take me on directly in the event. For details, click on the link.

Are you ready for some football !

SiriusXM Experts Football League – 2012

'_MG_0203' photo (c) 2009, hot choco studio - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/ In 2010 I was the SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio Experts Football League Champion (you can listen to the channel at Sirius 210 or XM 87. You can also hear my daily show, from 7-10 PM EDT, Monday through Friday). I failed to win last season, but I’m back to reclaim my throne in 2012. In what follows I’ll run through the participants and the rules, before breaking down the team that I put together for the coming campaign.

Here are the participants.

 

1.  Ted Schuster
2.  George Kurtz
3.  Drew Dinkmeyer
4.  Bob Harris
5.  Mike Dempsey
6.  Matt Camp – phone
7.  Mike Blewitt – phone
8.  Rick Wolf / Glenn Colton
9. Adam Caplan
10.  Gary Hamill
11.  Ray Flowers
12.  Emil Kadlec
13.  Kyle Elfrink
14.  Kevin Payne

League Rules

14 teams, 15 rounds, #11 draft selection
PPR
Starting lineup: QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, Flex (only RR/WR), K, DEF
4 points passing TD, 6 for all others.

QB: Carson Palmer (11th round), Ryan Fitzpatrick (12)

RB: DeMarco Murray (1), Beanie Wells (4), Shonn Greene (5), David Wilson (7), LeGarrette Blount (9)

WR: Larry Fitzgerald (2), Hakeem Nicks (3), Titus Young (8), Kendall Wright (10), Alshon Jeffrey (13)

TE: Jermichael Finley (6)

K: Stephen Gostkowski (14)

DEF: Atlanta Falcons (15)

Quarterback: The first think you will notice is that my QBs are not elite. Not even close. Still, this is a 14 team league, and like I always say, you can win a fantasy league even when your QB isn’t a superstar. It might surprise a few folks to learn that Palmer averaged 275.3 yards a game last season, more than Big Ben (271.8), Tony Romo (261.5) or Matt Ryan (261.1). It might also surprise many to learn that Fitzpatrick threw for more yards than Joe Flacco or Michael Vick, and he also tossed more scores than Big Ben and Cam Newton to name just a few. This duo should be solid enough for me to compete.

Running Back: Murray needs to stay healthy. If he does he could be a huge performer in what figures to be an explosive offense in Big D. Murray runs with power, can catch passes, an averaged 5.5 yards a carry last season. Wells is always injured, and it remains to be seen where he is at physically after another knee surgery, but he did run for 1,047 yards and 10 scores last year. Greene is plodding, but the Jets say that are re-committed to the run this season. That means he could improve slightly on his 1,054 yard, six score season from last year. Wilson is an electric rookie who could post huge numbers if/when Ahmad Bradshaw were to come up lame again. And Blount… I’ve got a good feeling about him. Everyone is falling all over themselves to draft Doug Martin, but I’m on record as saying that I think Blount will be a better value add in 2012.

Wide Receiver: Fitzgerald and Nicks give me the best duo out wide in the league (remember, it’s a 14 team league). Beyond that, I took three shots at talented but unproven players leaving the depth of this unit suspect. Young has looked great in camp, an if he emerges as the #2 wideout for the Lions he could totally support my selection of him as a WR3 in this league. Wright is polished and should find a solid role with all of Kenny Britt’s woes in Tennessee. Jeffrey? Supremely talented. I’m hoping his role grows as the season progresses.

Tight End: Finley was supposed to be Jimmy Graham last season. He fell well short of those expectations, but he still caught 55 balls for 767 yards and eight scores in a pretty darn solid season. A slight improvement and Finley still becomes an elite option.

It’s a 14 team league so everyone has holes. Overall I like the club I was able to put together, an in the end the it’s as much about how I work the waiver-wire and whether or not my team stays healthy as it is about the names that I rostered on draft day.

For the results of the entire 14 team experts draft click on the link to SiriusXM Fantasy Sports Radio – Host FF Draft # 1.

CONTEST – SHOT AT $15,000

DailyJoust.com has got a fantasy football league that you need to know about called the NFL Gladiator Tournament. You can learn all the details in the link I just posted, but here are the highlights of the tournament.

It’s basically an eliminator tournament. Each week every team makes it to the next week except the lowest scorer for that week. The field continues to be whittled down until there is just one team standing (even the teams that lose an are eliminated early get a chance to join the 2nd Chance Gauntlet to play for prizes).

Sounds like a winning scenario to me. Does it to you? So get over to the link to read just how you can get involved in the survivor tournament, and when you are ready to sign up go ahead and click on the BaseballGuys/DailyJoust page to sign up.

Prove your worth by winning the 15 week battle.

 

By Ray Flowers

NFL – NFFC and Daily Joust

'Football: Jets-v-Eagles, Sep 2009 - 19' photo (c) 2009, Ed Yourdon - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/ I’m switching things up this Monday. With fantasy football season approaching quickly, I thought I would do two things today.

(1) I’ll present you with an opportunity to join a league at DailyJoust.com in which you can have a shot at winning part of the $1500 Free Roll — for free (it’s in the title).

(2) I’ll review the team that I drafted for the National Fantasy Football Championship because I’m always about transparency with my fantasy squads.

DAILY JOUST – $1500 FREE ROLL

I’ve been telling you all about DailyJoust all baseball season, but you know they also do basketball, hockey and football, right? Here’s an exciting option for the 2012 NFL Season.

DailyJoust is offering a $1500 Tournament in which $1500 prizes are available (top prize is $150.00, and the top-200 places receive a prize as well).

The best part about the tournament is that it is FREE to sign up.

Obviously there is no reason on earth that you shouldn’t take a few minutes out of your day to sign up for a free game in which you can win real cash. Not to mention the fun that accompanies cheering on your fantasy squad as you demolish the competition. So get over to DailyJoust and make it happen (you can easily sign up from the link that takes you to the BaseballGuys/DailyJoust partner page).

NATIONAL FANTASY FOOTBALL CHAMPIONSHIP

On Saturday I was part of a 12-team league in the NFFC 12-team Online Championship (I wrote about the league in Beat Ray Flowers, Win $100,000?). Today I’ll review the squad (you can still sign up for leagues with the NFFC so go ahead and head that way when you get a chance).

League Rules

12 teams, 20 rounds, #10 draft selection
PPR
3rd round reversal (more on that below)
KDS (more on that below)
Starting lineup: QB, RB, RB, WR, WR, WR, TE, Flex, K, DEF
6 points for all TDs

QB: Philip Rivers (7th round), Christian Ponder (16), Tim Tebow (17)

RB: Darren McFadden (1), Adrian Peterson (3), Fred Jackson (4), Roy Helu (8), LeGarrette Blount (10), Ronnie Brown (12), Mike Goodson (14)

WR: Larry Fitzgerald (2), Jeremy Maclin (5), Darrius Heyward-Bey (9), Kendall Wright (11), Danny Amendola (13), Alshon Jeffrey (15)

TE: Fred Davis (6), Heath Miller (20)

K: Matt Prater (18)

D: Atlanta Falcons (19)

Quarterback: As I say everyday on Sirius 210, XM 87 on The Drive (Mon-Fri 7-10 PM EDT), I’m not going to go nuts on the QBs early. This league was a perfect example of that. I’m a huge fan of Matt Ryan and Tony Romo, but they went in the 4th and 5th rounds. I happily waited for Rivers, the 10th QB taken. I grabbed Ponder late, like the foot/arm combo, and then took Tebow. I don’t ever draft three signal callers, but two things. (1) This league drafts 20 players, an extremely deep total forcing more aggressive drafting with so little left on the waiver-wire. (2) I’ve said this since before last season, if Tebow is starting he’s a top-10 QB option every week. I’m not sure that Mark Sanchez will hold him off for that starting spot all year, an if so I got me a great late round bargain, or at least blocked someone else from getting the chance to grab a potential starter at the end of the draft.

Running Back: If DMC and AD are healthy this will be the top duo in the league. If DMC ends up injured and AD lacks his normal boost coming back from knee surgery, my team is in trouble. Go big or go home I say. F-Jax gives me the best RB3 in the league. All this nonsense in Washington — Helu is still the most talented back there. Blount has been undervalued because of the Doug Martin hoopla. I think he carves out a bigger role than most. Ronnie Brown could get a couple of starts while the always brittle Ryan Mathews heals that shoulder. Goodson was my must add handcuff for DMC.

Wide Receiver: My weak link. Fitzgerald is amazingly consistent, and I wouldn’t be shocked if Maclin ended the year as a WR1. I like DHB but would have preferred his teammate, Denarius Moore. That’s a decent trio that I like a lot, but DHB doesn’t give me the warm and fuzzies even though he had some excellent games last year. Wright could be big as a rookie with Kenny Britt’s woes, and Amendola may not score but he catches passes (85 two years ago). Jeffrey was my go for broke late selection. He has the talent, and opportunity, to be a big player as the season progresses.

Tight End: Fred Davis, as long as he stays healthy and away from illicit substances, will be the breakout player at the tight end position this year. I would have preferred Rob Housler as my backup over Miller but Housler shares the same bye week as Davis.

K/DEF: Per usual, I just waited and grab the best available options at the end of the draft.

This league was a Third Round Reversal (3RR). What that means is that after the first two rounds the draft order flip flops.

Picks 1-12 are then followed by pick 12-1 as always in snake drafts. However, in round three the order is reversed so it ends up looking like this: 1-12, 12-1, 12-1.

Since I had the 10th pick I ended up with: pick #10, pick #15, pick #27

Since everyone knows I’m not gonna take a QB or TE that early, I felt like if I ended up with a pick at the end of the first round I would be able to grab a runner in round one, a pass catcher in round two, an another runner in round three. Guess what? I did exactly that.

How did I know I was going to end up with a late first round selection? Because the NFFC allows you to bid on which pick, #1-12, you want by use of the Kentucky Derby Style process. In this setup, each player submits their list of preferred draft slots (in my case, I went 10, 11, 12 etc.). Players names are then randomly drawn and they are assigned their highest preference on their draft list based upon which spots remain. Luckily for me I got the spot I wanted at the end of the round and my strategy played out perfectly. Now we’ll have to wait and see if my strategy was sound or not.

*** DON’T FORGET TO GET YOUR COPY OF THE 2012 NFL FANTASY FOOTBALL GUIDE.

 

By Ray Flowers

Beat Ray Flowers, Win $100,000?

'Dallas-001216-N-1110A-513.jpg' photo (c) 2007, pcxHB - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-sa/2.0/

Have you ever wanted to test your fantasy skills against Ray Flowers? Now you can do just that and take him on head-to-head with a chance to not only beat Ray but to win over $100,000 in prizes.

Ray has agreed to participate in the NFFC Online Championship (National Fantasy Football Championship), where owners can win a $1,600 league prize and a $100,000 grand prize. He will be drafting on Saturday, August 11, 2012 at 1 pm ET and will be among the 1,000+ owners competing for the overall grand prize. BaseballGuys.com followers can join that individual league to compete against Ray and will be in competition with Ray all year long for the overall grand prize.

Also, even if you don’t get into Ray’s actual 12-team league, all BaseballGuys.com participants in the NFFC Online Championship will also be competing against Ray each week in the Overall Standings. More than 1,000 teams will be competing for league prizes and the overall grand prize of $100,000. See if your point total after Week 16 is better than Ray’s and compete against him during the final three weeks of the season (Weeks 14-16) for the overall prizes.

Sign up now for the Beat Ray Flowers NFFC Online Championship league because spots will fill fast. This is a 12-team league, 20 rounds using Third Round Reversal. Cost of entry is $350 and first place in the league pays $1,600 and second place pays $500. Top two teams from each league advance to the Championship Round and the team with the most points from Weeks 14-16 (plus their weekly scoring average from Weeks 1-13) wins the $100,000 grand prize.

It’s simple and rewarding, but the best reward could be defeating Ray head-to-head. Only 11 owners will get that chance, so sign up now and join us on August 11th at 1 pm ET for the NFFC Online Championship. Good luck all.

NFL: It’s Too Early, But…

'Titans Camp' photo (c) 2008, vermillion - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/ If you listen to my radio show on Sirius 210 and XM 87 each day (Monday-Friday from 5-8 PM EDT), you know my thoughts on talking fantasy football in June (let’s just say I think it’s premature). Given that fact you’re probably wondering why there is a picture of Chris Johnson adorning my article today. I’m all about transparency at BaseballGuys, and one of the ways that I accomplish that is by always being open with you about the teams that I draft (you can find my review of the expert baseball leagues I participated in this year in the Fantasy U section). Therefore, I’m going to take a one day diversion from baseball to break down my FSTA Experts Draft for the NFL that was completed Monday night in San Francisco. I’ll return to baseball tomorrow in my mailbag article, and you can always follow me on Twitter for the rest of today for your baseball fix.

Teams: 14 (I had the 7th selection)

Rosters: 1 Quarterback , 2 Running Backs , 3 Wide Receivers , 1 Tight End, 1 Flex Player (RB, WR or TE) , 1 Kicker , 1 Team Defense/Specials Team, (6 reserves)

League Rules

Passing: 1 point for 30 yards. 3 points for TD. (-1) for fumbles/interceptions.

Rushing: 1 point for 10 yards. 6 points for TD. (-1) for fumble

Receiving (PPR): 1 point for 10 yards. 0.5 points for RB. 1 point for WR/TE. (-1) for fumbles.

The most obvious oddity in this scoring system, and why wouldn’t it be odd given that there simply isn’t any standardized setup in fantasy football (ugh) is that passers are really devalued here since most leagues award six points for passing touchdowns and all give at least four points. There is also the fact that yardage is dinged too (most leagues are one point per 25 yards with many giving one point for 20 yards). You all know I like to wait on quarterbacks anyway, but this setup just made that easier.

The second point is that runners only get half a point for receptions versus a full point for wide receivers and tight ends.

With that, here are some thoughts from the draft.

QUARTERBACKS

Four QBs were taken in the second round which seems a little heavy to me given the scoring system. Tony Romo and Philip Rivers in the 5th round seem like strong values. Peyton Manning went before Eli Manning as well. At this point hasn’t the younger brother surpasses the elder statesman?

RUNNING BACKS

I love Darren McFadden, and per game he is dynamite, but #5 overall is just too early. I feel the same way about Marshawn Lynch at #9. MJD would be a top-5 selection in every draft if it was clear that he wouldn’t be a holdout concern (he slipped to #8 here). Trent Richardson might be a dynamically skilled player but I’m not taking a rookie runner in the first round (#13 overall).

WIDE RECEIVERS

In a PPR setup, seems like there are a strong group of receivers available at the top of the draft. Wait past the middle of the draft though and you start taking a lot of shots on talent that lacks the numbers, or vets with the numbers who may be on the downside of their careers.

TIGHT ENDS

Jimmy Graham went off the board one pick after Ron Gronkowski in the second round. After the two elite ends were taken another didn’t go for 34 selections.

MY TEAM

QB: Jay Cutler, Carson Palmer
RB: Chris Johnson, Adrian Peterson, Daniel Thomas, Ryan Williams, Isaiah Pead
WR: Brandon Marshall, Jeremy Maclin, Denarius Moore, Titus Young, Alshon Jeffery
TE: Jermichael Finley, Martellus Bennett
K: Alex Henery
DEF: Seattle Seahawks

I waited on quarterbacks an ended up with a solid duo in a 14 team league.

CJ2K and AD. If Peterson is healthy in Week 1, and CJ rebounds just slightly from last year, this duo could lead me to a championship.

I’ve got Marshall who is a lock for 80 receptions and 1,000, and then it’s an uber talented group of four youngsters behind him. I think Maclin has legit top-15 WR potential, and Moore could be the breakout star at WR this year.

It was Vernon Davis or Finley when I drafted my end and I avoided being a homer and chose the Packers tight end who is making all kinds of proclamations that he is going to go off this year.

K/DEF = Oh yeah, we have to roster those two dong we?

For the results of the entire draft click on the RT Sports Link to the event, and for a review of some of the numbers posted by the elite of the game check out Fleaflicker.

FINALLY… for more on the weekend events at the FSTA give a read to my diary of the weekend in How Good AM I & Lil’ Kim.

By Ray Flowers

THE 2011-12 NHL FANTASY HOCKEY GUIDE

'_MG_1100' photo (c) 2011, StanleyCupYosemiteVisit - license: http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/2.0/
A year after the Bruins battled their way to the Stanley Cup despite a myriad of injuries, the NHL is about ready to begin yet another season. There are many questions to answer this season.

How real is the Stanley Cup hangover, and will it doom the Bruins?

Do the Sharks have enough talent to finally get over the hump? Heck, will they be able to hold off the ever improving Kings for the Pacific Division lead?

Have the Kings improved enough around Drew Doughty that he can now be considered the best fantasy defender in the game?

When will Sidney Crosby be healthy enough to return to action? Will he be able to play at his career levels when he does?

Can Alexander Ovechkin return to his goal scoring ways. For that matter, what about Ilya Kovalchuk, Nicklas Backstrom and Paul Stastny?

Does Martin Brodeur have one great season left in his bones?

Will Rick Nash and Jeff Carter become one of the most fearsome duo’s in the game?

I will not go into detail on any of these points, but you should be able to infer what I’m thinking based on looking at my positional rankings which follow.

(1) Players are only listed at one position.

(2) The rankings assume a rather traditional scoring system.

Offense: Goals, Assists, Plus/Minus, PIM, PPP, Shots on Goal
Goaltending: Wins, GAA, Save Percentage, Shutouts

With that, please enjoy my 2011-12 NHL-Guide-BBGuys.

 

By Ray Flowers

2011 NFL Draft Guide

The 2011 NFL DRAFT GUIDE is here.

I’m not going to weigh it down by adding all kinds of reports on team that you won’t read. I’m also not gonna rank players based on 19 different scoring systems. It’s time to get down and dirty folks.

So what does The Guide include and how to get you a copy?

* Players are ranked by position (based on PPR Scoring):

The top-30 quarterbacks and tight ends.

The top-100 running backs and wide receivers.

The top-32 kickers and defenses.

* All players also are accompanied by auction dollar values.

* The top-200 overall players are ranked.

* I’ve also included an article describing my preferred scoring system.

* There is also a quick report on how to evaluate players. Why shouldn’t you take a quarterback with your first selection?

* NOTE: The Guide is continually updated, so even though this post is old, the information in The Guide is up to the minute.

There it is. Like I said, down and dirty to help get you into the full swing of fantasy football draft season.

So, how do you get it? Simple really.

The Guide costs $3. Come on, that’s less than a sandwich at Subway or a gallon of gas. It’s worth it.

Simply click on the yellow DONATE Tab to the right of this article (it’s in the far right column) which will redirect you to the BaseballGuys‘ PayPal page. Once there, simply submit a donation for $3 and I’ll be happy to email you directly the eight page PDF file with all the above information in it.

Are you ready for some football !

By Ray Flowers

Crashing The Net: April.4

Photo by Lindsay Rockstar

This week in Crashing the Net, I’ll hand out the 2010-11 fantasy hockey awards.

Fantasy MVP’s (one per position)

Steven Stamkos, Lightning
44-45-89, +3, 74 PIMs
After 51 goals and 95 points in his second season it looks like Stamkos will fall just a bit short of those numbers this year, a result of a horrific slump to end the year that includes just six goals in his last 27 games. Still, the kid has been dynamic yet again and is a sure fire top-5 selection for 2011 drafts.

Cory Perry, Ducks
47-46-93, +7, 104 PIMs
MVP talk continues to swirl around the league’s leading goal scorer who is also the only skater in the league with a triple-digit PIM mark and more than 30 goals. Perry has been hotter than Kim Kardashian in a skin tight dress of late with 16 goals in hist last 13 contests.

Daniel Sedin, Canucks
41-59-100, +28, 30 PIM
The only skater in the game with 100 points, Sedin appears likely to capture the league MVP as the best player on the best team in the game. A fantasy owner’s dream, Daniel has scored at least 71 points in each of the past six years, has already set career bests in goals, assists and points, and is working on a third straight year with a plus/minus of at least +24.

Dustin Byfuglien, Thrashers
20-33-53, (-3), 77 PIMs
In a rather remarkable effort Dustin completely blew up. Not only did he set career bests in goals and assists, while moving to the blue line mind you, he also fired a career best 334 shots on net, 123 more than he ever had before and 82 more than any other defender. Before slowing down after the All-Star game he had 15 goals and 40 points in his first 41 games.

Lubomir Visnovsky, Ducks
18-48-66, +15, 77 PIMs
The leading point getter amongst blue liners, Lubomir has used his offensive skills to post his best season since 2005 in his first full season with the Ducks. He has been particularly lethal on the power-play where he has recorded 29 of his points (5g, 24a).

Tim Thomas, Bruins
33-10-9, 1.98 GAA, .939 SV%, 9 shutouts
There might be nine goalies with more victories, but Thomas leads the league with a 1.98 GAA and has a chance to set an all-time single season save percentage record as well. Toss in nine shutouts and he has been the fantasy MVP in net without question.

Most Disappointing Non-Injured Players

Joe Thornton, Sharks
19-47-66, +3, 43 PIMs
Since he became a Shark in 2005 Thornton has never railed to hand out 61 assists or to record at least 86 points. He has no shot at either mark this year. Thornton will also see his 5-year run of finishing with a +16 or better mark come to an end. Toss in a six year low in penalty minutes and goals, and you have yourself a whopper of a fantasy disappointment.

Dany Heatley, Sharks
25-37-62, +8, 52 PIM
Part of the reason that Thornton struggled for points was that Heatley has had his worst full season production since his rookie effort. In each of the past five seasons Dany had scored at least 39 goals, and that alone is enough of a reason to call his effort this year a massive disappointment. My goodness – he has fewer assists this year than his five year low in goals.

Ilya Kovalchuk, Devils
29-27-56, (-23), 28 PIM
For the 9th straight year he has scored at least 29 goals, but this will be his first effort since his rookie year with fewer than 38 goals. Historically pitiful in prior to the All-Star break (29 points, -29 in 48 games), Ilya actually performed pretty well over his last 29 games (15g, 12a, +6). Hopefully it won’t take him two-thirds of a season to wake up next year.

Victor Hedman, Lightning
3-23-26, +4, 70 PIM
He entered the year with a ton of hoopla after a successful rookie season, which when coupled with what was thought to be a potential offensive juggernaut in Tampa, had Hedman’s star on the rise. As a result, his effort this season was a major disappointment in that his numbers are virtually identical to last year – he has one less goal, nine fewer PIMs, five fewer hits and only 11 more shots. Defenders sometimes take a bit longer to develop, but there wasn’t much development to note his second season in the league.

Zach Bogosian, Thrashers
5-12-17, (-26), 29 PIMs
In his first full season last year he recorded 10 goals and 23 points. He’s missed a few games with injury having appeared in 67 games this year, but that doesn’t excuse his awful performance. The third overall selection in 2008 has just about fallen out of favor in Atlanta and has a long ways to go to fulfill his potential.

Marty Turco, Blackhawks
11-11-3, 3.02 GAA, .897 SV%, 1 shutout
It may be tough to remember at this point, but going into the year most expected Turco to make 55 starts for the Blackhawks in a career resurgence. It hasn’t played out remotely close to that. In his first year in Chicago his GAA has climbed to a career worst while his save percentage has also fallen to a career worst. He has only one shutout, another bottom feeder mark in his career, and any way you cut it his effort has been wildly disappointing.

Out of Nowhere Stars

Logan Couture, Sharks
31-23-54, +19, 39 PIM
He’s scored more goals than Martin St. Louis, Ilya Kovalchuk and Alexander Ovechkin. If that’s all you knew about Couture you would think he’d had a hell of a season. When you add in that he’s also a +19 skater, has taken more shots on net than Johan Franzen, Anze Kopitar and Thomas Vanek, and that he is still considered a rookie, well then you have an out-of-nowhere All-Star.

Michael Grabner, Islanders
31-17-48, +15, 10 PIMs
Released by the Panthers, Grabner latched on with the Islanders and turned into a scoring star. In one blazing hot stretch in February and March he lit the lamp 16 times in 24 games. Throw in a +15 for a team that most nights is already behind by the end of the first period and in Grabner you have the quintessential waiver-wire add that helps teams to win fantasy leagues.

Teemu Selanne, Ducks
28-48-76, +4, 42 PIM
It’s tough to call a future HOFamer who has the nickname of “The Finnish Flash” an out of nowhere star, but Selanne really does qualify. Thought to be playing his last season at age 40, all Selanne has done is to score 76 points in just 70 games for his highest point total since 2006. He’s also four PIMs away from the second best mark of his career, and once again he’s completely lit up keepers on the power player (15g, 17a).

Brent Burns, Wild
16-28-44, (-10), 98 PIMs
The plus/minus is bad, but otherwise it’s been a hell of a season for the Wilds’ blue liner. First, he appeared in more than 60 games for the first time in three years (77 so far). Second, he set a career best with 16 goals, this after scoring 11 times the previous two years. Third, he’s tied his career best in assists while setting a new high in penalty minutes. When healthy, as he has been this year, he’s a hell of a player.

Alex Pietrangelo, Blues
11-31-42, +18, 19 PIM
About the only thing he hasn’t done is produce in the penalty minute category. After being unable to crack the everyday lineup in two abbreviated seasons, this 2008 first round draft pick has exploded on the scene with a strong offensive showing built largely around even strength performance (he has 13 points on the power-play). The Blues have a lot of young talent to build around, and Alex is one of those foundational blocks.

James Reimer, Leafs
20-8-4, 2.54 GAA, .922 SV%, 3 shutouts
I could have gone with Corey Crawford who has been the better goalie this season, but Crawford was, at worst, going to function as a part-time keeper for the Blackhawks this year while Reimer wasn’t drafted in a single league this season.  Reimer was the main reason that the Leafs stayed into the playoff race until the last week of the season, he has won seven of his last eight decisions, and to think, from a mid-year waiver wire pickup.

Ray Flowers can be heard daily on Sirius/XM Radio on The Fantasy Drive, 5-8 PM Eastern, on Sirius 211 and XM 147.

Crashing The Net: March.28

hockey-goal-tiffa-day

Photo by Tiffa Day

Crashing the Net takes you around the league touching on hot and cold players, battles for ice-time and what’s going on in net.

FIRE

Simon Gagne, Lightning
Always injured, Gagne was always an offensive force when on the ice, that is until this season. Oh he’s been injured again, he’s appeared in just 56 games, but until lately he was producing like a third line winger whose main job was shutting down the other teams top line. Finally producing points with some regularity, Gagne has scored four times in his last two games and six times in his last six contests. Toss in four assists in that time and he’s finally rounding into form as the playoffs approach.

Patrick Marleau, Sharks
Just a short while ago Marleau was having a very poor season. The numbers are still down from what he accomplished the last two years, but he has been on a feeding frenzy for the Sharks of late. Marleau has 11 goals in his last 15 games including six in his last five games to push his season total up to 33. Moreover, in his last 12 contests he has recorded 17 points for the surging Sharks. If you weathered the storm of his uneven early season play you’ve reached safe harbor in solid shape with Patrick.

Corey Perry, Ducks
Hello NHL goal scoring leader. Here are the staggering numbers Perry has posted of late: thirteen goals, five multi goal games, and four game winning goals in a meager nine games. Perry also leads the NHL with 20 third period goals, has tied a franchise record with 10 game winning goals and has also equaled the club record for tallies in a month with 13. Moreover, if you look at the totality of his game he could be the fantasy MVP this season: 44g, 41a, 100 PIMs, 254 shots on goals and 25 power-play points. What a season for the right wing who has increased his point total each of the last five seasons.

Blake Wheeler, Thrashers
As a Bruin this season be averaged 0.47 points per game, but that rate has gone up significantly since he pulled on the Thrashers’ sweater. In 16 games in his new home Blake has recorded 13 points, a rate of 0.81 points per game, as he has lit the lamp five times while dishing out eight assists. He’s also drastically pushed his shot rate up from 1.74 per context in Boston to 3.44 per game with the Thrashers. He’ll attempt to finish strong this season to assure himself a top-6 role with Atlanta next season.

ICE

David Booth, Panthers
Booth scored 31 times in 2008, but injuries limited him to just 28 games last year. This season has been one filled with health, he’s appeared in all 76 Panthers’ games, but he has just 21 goals an a pitiful (-24) mark. Recently he has gone four games without a point, has gone seven games without a goal and has only one assist in nine games.

Drew Doughty, Kings
He just never really got going this year. Oh he has 11 goals and a +14 rating, solid totals to be sure, but after a 16 goal, 59 point season in his second campaign more was expected  of him this season. His production has really slowed the past little while as he has but one goal 13 games and just one helper in his last seven contests. There’s always next year.

Patrik Elias, Devils
Have the Devils run out of steam in their mad push to make the playoffs after a horrendous start to the year? Elias seems to have hit a wall of some kind as he has five games without a point. The Devils’ long time leader also has a mere three goals in 27 games. Sprinkle in a (-7) rating in the month of March and you have a veteran who is limping to the finish line.

Steven Stamkos, Lightning
He is second in the NHL with 43 goals and fourth with 86 points, but the scoring phenom has gone cold of late with just two goals in 15 games. Even worse, he’s stopped handing out helpers too having played 5-straight without being on the score sheet. Obviously it’s only a matter of time before the points come, but this slump comes at a terrible time – the fantasy hockey playoffs.

MOVIN’ ON UP

Troy Brouwer, Blackhawks
Welcome to Nirvana Mr. Brouwer. After going 17-straight games without a goal, Brouwer will get a chance to end that drought on Monday as he’ll be placed on the Blackhawks’ top line alongside Patrick Kane and Jonathan Toews who is working on a rather amazing run of 11 goals in 15 games and 23 assists in 25 games. Brouwer will need a big final push to reach 20-goals for the second straight year – he currently has 17.

Oscar Moller, Kings
With Anze Kopitar and Justin Williams on the shelf for the rest of the season, the Kings nee someone to skate on the top scoring line, so they are going with a trio of Michael Handzus along with Dustin Penner and Moller. A talented skater who had 50 points in 59 games in the AHL this season, Moller has a mere 12 goals and 14 assists in 80 games in his young NHL career, but with first line minutes will come the chance for him to improve upon those lackluster scoring rates.

KEEPER CORNER

Ray Emery, Ducks
Jonas Hiller (vertigo) is back, but in his first action in over a month he lasted only 12 minutes before surrendering three goals. The team says that Hiller didn’t suffer any setbacks, perhaps it was just rust, but it’s unclear how much he will play down the stretch since Ray Emery is playing so well. Eleven months after having bone-graft surgery in his hip, Emery is back in the NHL and thriving for a Ducks team that is desperately trying to make the playoffs. Emery has been spectacular in his five appearances with a 4-0 record, a GAA of 1.39 and a save percentage of .952. Again, there is uncertainty about who will be in net for the club, but one thing is for sure, Emery is performing at an elite level right now.

Braden Holtby, Capitals
Holtby is the third goalie with the Caps, so it’s understandable that he would shuttle between the AHL and the NHL. However, I have a hard time understanding their use of him of late. Holtby was called up to fill in when Semyon Varlamov and Michal Neuvirth were less than 100 percent on the weekend, and all Holtby did was post a shutout. His reward? He was sent beck to the minors on Monday. I’m sorry, but when you have won 6-straight appearances and have a GAA of 1.01 in your last nine outings you simply must be on the ice for every game – period. Odd to say the least that he isn’t in net for the Caps don’t you agree?

Joey MacDonald, Ducks
Jimmy Howard has 34 wins, tied for second in the league, but his ratios are poor by current standards (2.77 GAA, .904 SV%). Still, a “W” is a “W”, and that’s why he has value in the fantasy game. However, he recently injured his shoulder, and though an MRI showed nothing significantly wrong, it is possible that he could miss a week of action (he thinks he might be able to return by the middle of the week). With Chris Osgood still dealing with groin issues, MacDonald figures to start until Howard returns. Given that Joey has a 2.05 GAA and .928 save percentage in 13 appearances this year, and that he hasn’t allowed a goal in his last three appearances, the Wings should be fine.

Looking Ahead

* Twelve teams play four games this week: Anaheim, Buffalo, Carolina, Chicago, Colorado, Columbus, Dallas, Detroit, Minnesota, Philadelphia, St. Louis and Tampa Bay.

* Two teams plays only two games this week: Phoenix and an Jose

Ray Flowers can be heard daily on Sirius/XM Radio on The Fantasy Drive, 5-8 PM Eastern, on Sirius 211 and XM 147.